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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Sun Apr 24, 2011 9:40 am 
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Good info, and I have no answer to the gnome menu thing but I agree, the menu editor is ok but is not great

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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 6:16 am 
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Some numbers on the Humble Frozenbyte Bundle.
From the site:
    Total payments: $887,732.61
    Number of purchases: 176,780
    Average purchase: $5.02
    Average Windows: $3.99
    Average Mac: $6.43
    Average Linux: $11.71

Then the graphic on total payments by platform which appears to show:
    Linux share: 25%
    Max share: 15%
    Windows share: 60%

Great, now what? Well, I was mostly curious on the breakdown of platform share. A figure they don't give, but one can work it out.
    Linux share: 25% of total payments ~= $221,933.15 @ $11.71 average ~= 18,952 people
    Max share: 15% of total payments ~= $133,159.89 @ $6.43 average ~= 20,709 people
    Windows share: 60% of total payments ~= $532,639.57 @ $3.99 average ~= 133,494 people
This leave about 3,625 people unaccounted for, that seems to be caused by the HfB figures.

So, based on my arithmetic, what are the platform shares?
    Linux share: 18,952 people ~= 10.72%
    Max share: 20,709 people ~= 11.71%
    Windows share: 133,494 people ~= 75.51%
    Unaccounted: 3,625 people ~= 2.05%

One can't draw much of a conclusion from a single sample, so lets do the same for HiB2:
    Total payments: $1,826,162.85
    Number of purchases: 232,855
    Average purchase: $7.84
    Average Windows: $6.68
    Average Mac: $9.27
    Average Linux: $13.76

The graphic on total payments by platform which appears to show:
    Linux share: 20%
    Mac share: 20%
    Windows share: 60%

Working out the platform share:
    Linux share: 20% of total payments ~= $365,232.57 @ $13.76 average ~= 26,543 people
    Max share: 20% of total payments ~= $365,232.57@ $9.27 average ~= 39,399 people
    Windows share: 60% of total payments ~= $1,095,697.71 @ $6.68 average ~= 164,027 people
This leave about 2,886 people unaccounted for and again that seems to be caused by the HfB figures.

Based the above:
    Linux share: 26,543 people ~= 11.40%
    Mac share: 39,399 people ~= 16.92%
    Windows share: 164,027 people ~= 70.44%
    Unaccounted: 2,886 people ~= 1.23%

We can see that HiB2 seems to have been more popular with the "alternate" choices than HfB and I certainly remember hearing a lot more push in the podcasts and other websites for HiB2 than for HfB. But that's not what interests me. What I find striking is the circa 10% for Linux.

It's a generally held wisdom that Linux is big on the public-facing server (web sites, firewalls, routers etc) and as one moves further back into the enterprise Windows comes to dominate (because of Exchange, SharePoint, SQL Server etc). It is also commonly held that Linux is nowhere on the desktop. The general stats quoted for Linux are "within a rounding error" or single digits at best.

From http://gs.statcounter.com/#os-ww-monthl ... 201103-bar
    Windows: 91.56%
    Mac: 6.56%
    Linux: 0.76%
    Other: 1.12%

And from http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_os.asp (same period as above, more tech-focused site)
    Windows: 85.82%
    Mac: 8.00%
    Linux: 5.10%
    Other: 1.08%

Now, these are games. Are you going to install a game onto your ESX server or OpenStack node? Are you heck, so these must all be desktop installs. And that means, for the people who bought HiB2/HfB, the normal stats you see under-represent the Linux market at least twice and potentially as much as ten-fold.

Are you going to put a game on your office box? Not if you want to keep your job. So we can conclude that most of these must be domestic desktop installs. What does that mean? Well, it means that (outside of the enterprise arena) Linux is getting used more on the desktop and therefore there must be more people skilling-up on it. Part of the reason Windows is entrenched because it is all schools teach (MS gives massive education discounts for this reason). If kids are using Linux at home and taking that to school...what will they want to use in employment? What will they know how to use?

At what point does Linux gain enough domestic penetration to make re-skilling to Windows a bother and thus a cost? I don't know, but that time might be within the next decade. And that is without considering the penetration of Linux (or Linux-a-likes) into smartphones, set-top boxes etc.

There is another thing to consider. If the Linux market is so under-represented, if the hardware manufacturers can be made to realise that we might see better driver support and more "opening" of platforms (e.g. Blu-Ray). Probably a pipe-dream in the short term. But I like to dream.

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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 7:30 am 
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Wow twistedLucidity

Thanks for taking the time to make that post

I really wish and hope that Linux hits that "domestic penetration" level quick and I would love for normal people to experience the benefits of Linux

.... and with 10 hours left I do not believe I will be able to buy it, money is tight bills are due and I don't want to give them 0.50$, that would be insulting imo

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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Tue May 31, 2011 6:39 am 
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Holy awesome sauce!

http://trine2.com/

Not part of any Humble Bundle, but this looks ace. If you liked Trine (I did), I think you'll like this. You'll need a decent graphics card for all the pretties is my guess, but Trine was playable for me on an old GeForce 7900GS, so I expect this will be too.

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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Tue May 31, 2011 6:45 am 
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ohh dang

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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Tue May 31, 2011 9:02 am 
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Good breakdown and thoughts. I concur. Also, Trine was pretty sweet.


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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Sun Aug 14, 2011 10:09 am 
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So, HiB3 has been out for a while and I've been playing a few of the games. HiB3 has grown and grown, raising over USA$2million and adding more games an preious bundles. Sweeeeet. If you missed out, there's always next time.

Anyway, I thought I do by back-of-the-envelope break-down of the figures again.

From the site:
    Total payments: $2,168,544.05
    Number of purchases: 372,388
    Average purchase: $5.82
    Average Windows: $4.89
    Average Mac: $7.73
    Average Linux: $12.03

Then the graphic on total payments by platform which appears to show:
    Linux share: 17%
    Max share: 18%
    Windows share: 65%

Giving:
    Linux share: 17% of total payments ~= $368,652.49 @ $12.03 average ~= 30,644 people
    Max share: 18% of total payments ~= $390,337.93 @ $7.73 average ~= 50,496 people
    Windows share: 65% of total payments ~= $1,409,553.63 @ $4.89 average ~= 255,252 people
This leaves about 2,995 people unaccounted for, that seems to be caused by the HiB figures and my estimations

Platform shares based on above:
    Linux share: 30,644 people ~= 8.23%
    Max share: 50,496 people ~= 13.56%
    Windows share: 255,252 people ~= 77.41%
    Unaccounted: 2,995 people ~= 0.80%

Previous figures for HfB*:
    Linux share: 18,952 people ~= 10.72%
    Max share: 20,709 people ~= 11.71%
    Windows share: 133,494 people ~= 75.51%
    Unaccounted: 3,625 people ~= 2.05%

And for HiB3*:
    Linux share: 26,543 people ~= 11.40%
    Mac share: 39,399 people ~= 16.92%
    Windows share: 164,027 people ~= 70.44%
    Unaccounted: 2,886 people ~= 1.23%

Not obviously I am having to work for the pie-chart and generally guess stuff and despite the dip in the Linux number it is still heartening to see that they are still higher than what the usually quoted stats would have one believe.

*See my previous post

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 Post subject: Re: New Humble Bundle
 Post Posted: Sun Aug 14, 2011 1:28 pm 
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Nice rundown, thanks

Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk

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